Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | February 18, 2012

Think this is over?

Think this is over?  In the 5 years since the housing bust started, 4 million homes have foreclosed in the U.S.   Now consider this:  There are currently 4 million home owners 90 days or more late on their mortgage.

February 13, 2012

CFPB helping fix mortgage industry

Richard Cordray
Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

When I was a state and local treasurer in Ohio, I saw the housing crisis unfold in slow motion. Brokers steered consumers into high-priced mortgages to earn higher fees. First-time homebuyers signed up for balloon loans — not understanding the risks. And unscrupulous operators looking to make fast cash crowded in, stealing market share from honest, responsible lenders that still cared about a borrower’s ability to repay.

It was the wild West of lending. Few people realized how dangerous or widespread the problem was. Neither did we, though we could plainly see that something was very wrong.

We all know how it ended. And we all recognize now that a lack of effective federal government oversight contributed to the problem. No single federal government agency was focused on viewing the markets for financial products and services from the perspective of the consumer. That was a tragic error.

President Barack Obama and Congress recognized this needed to change, so they created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. While the CFPB is charged with overseeing all sorts of financial products and services — including credit cards, checking accounts and payday loans — our greatest focus is on the mortgage market. It was, after all, the house of cards that crashed our economy and caused so much pain for millions of Americans.

There is much that needs to be fixed in this broken market — from the moment a prospective homeowner starts shopping for a loan all the way until the loan is finally terminated, which for too many people these days comes about through foreclosure.

The United States still has a long way to go to get through the aftermath of this crisis. Almost 4 million mortgages — about 7.6 percent of outstanding loans — are more than 90 days delinquent. Nearly a quarter of mortgages had negative equity at the end of the second quarter of 2011. And some studies indicate that as many as 10 million borrowers are at risk of default.

The CFPB is implementing rules and helping to articulate standards so we never again end up in the mess we still see around us today. This is tough work that will take careful thought and time. But we also recognize we can help struggling homeowners now. That is why we are taking action on the mortgage servicing front to help consumers as quickly as possible.

This is a far-reaching task because servicers touch borrowers in many different ways. The servicer is typically responsible for collecting payments from the borrower on behalf of the owner of the loan. They handle customer service, escrow accounts, collections, loan modifications and foreclosures. In the vast majority of cases, consumers do not choose their mortgage servicer. In fact, mortgage servicing rights can be, and often are, bought and sold among servicers.

The problems in mortgage servicing have been well documented. Some servicers have failed to communicate with homeowners, even letting phone calls go unanswered. Others have repeatedly lost paperwork and experienced widespread problems with foreclosure processing. Fees have been assessed that in some instances are unjustified or exorbitant. Reports also suggest that many borrowers who qualify for loan modifications have not received them in time to avoid losing their homes to foreclosure.

The mortgage servicing settlement has received a lot of attention. That settlement, which involves loans held in portfolio by the five largest mortgage servicers, is designed to address some of these continuing concerns. But there are also independent, nonbank institutions that tend to specialize in the servicing of subprime or delinquent loans. And they are not part of the settlement.

These nonbank servicers used to receive little or no oversight. The CFPB is changing that. Our new authority allows us to supervise both banks and nonbanks. Indeed, for the first time, the federal government will have the authority to look into the entire mortgage servicing market. This is a critical improvement: We will be able to monitor all players to make sure they abide by federal consumer financial laws.

The Dodd-Frank Act, which established the CFPB, requires us to put in place new mortgage servicing rules to protect consumers. For example, the law directs us to issue a rule requiring mortgage servicers to provide consumers with better information in their billing statements. The statement will be required to include the principal, the current interest rate, the next date on which the interest rate may change, a description of late payment fees and a telephone number and email address that may be used to contact the servicer.

This week, we are releasing a prototype of what such a statement with all the required information would look like. We will seek broad input and insight by making sure to post a prototype of this form online, at consumerfinance.gov, so people can share their thoughts with us.

In the future, we will also issue new consumer protections around “force-placed insurance” — a term referring to hazard insurance that mortgage servicers secure at the borrower’s expense, typically at a very high cost, when they believe (even erroneously) that a borrower’s previous hazard insurance has lapsed.

Under the new law, we will write a rule to prevent servicers of most mortgages from charging for this insurance unless there is a reasonable basis to believe that borrowers have failed to maintain their own insurance. It will require servicers to provide consumers an opportunity to obtain their own insurance, which is generally less expensive than force-placed insurance obtained by the servicer.

We will also issue new disclosures for hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages — complicated loans that usually start with a “teaser” interest rate before resetting to a much higher rate. Consumers will be notified months ahead of their first interest rate adjustment and will receive a good-faith estimate of their new monthly payment, along with a list of alternatives they may pursue to head off the higher rate, including refinancing and renegotiation of loan terms.

The CFPB cannot address all of the problems in the servicing industry in one fell swoop. But we are already making important adjustments that will protect consumers more effectively. As we mature and grow, we will carefully identify risks and act as needed. We will also make certain that all federal consumer financial laws are being followed.

Without question, these are big challenges. But we look forward to addressing them. And we look forward to working with consumers, responsible businesses and our government partners to put in place a better and sounder consumer financial marketplace.

This article originally appeared in Politico on February 12, 2012.

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | January 25, 2012

Issaquah Duplex

Issaquah Duplex ~ Offered at $395,000

Sunny corner lot side by side 1-story duplex on a quiet street just a short walk to old town Issaquah. Perfect for investor or owner occupied (west unit has family room with bay sitting window, hardwoods in bedrooms, gas fireplace, carport and fenced side yard.) Each unit is nicely remodeled and offers 2 spacious bedrooms, full bath, covered back porch, private fenced yard and storage. Newer updates include: kitchens & baths, appliances, roof, paint, carpet, gas heat, energy efficient windows. Income/Location/Condition …best deal on Eastside! MLS# 313169

By The Numbers:

• Total Monthly Income: $2325
• Gross Annual Income: $27,900
• Total Annual Expenses: $5769
• Net Annual Income: $22,132
• Cap Rate: 5.6%
• Gross Rent Multiplier: 14

Current rents are under market & have higher Gross Potential Income. GPI $31,200 = Cap Rate 6.5% & GRM 12.6

 

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | January 10, 2012

2011 Seattle and King County Year End Home Sale Statistics

Seattle/King County 2011 home sales are now a closed book and real estate professionals as well as the media seem to be falling over each other to get out the good news–sales are up from 2010!  What they all seem mum on however is that prices are down–across the board–way down.  What gives?  My own professional opinion is that this seeming anomaly is due to banks speeding the clearing of their foreclosure inventory and being more willing to accommodate short sales.   With 40% of the market, their new-found willingness to accept below market offers is simply speeding sales and putting tremendous downward pressure on home prices.

Summary: December Year over year

Seattle Single Family:
  • Sales -down 2%
  • Average sold price -down 14%
  • Median sold price  -down  12%
Seattle Condo:
  • Sales -up 20%
  • Average sold price -down 7%
  • Median sold price  -down 8%
King County Single Family:
  • Sales -down 2%
  • Average sold price -down 16%
  • Median sold price  -down  15%
King County Condo:
  • Sales -up 19%
  • Average sold price -down 13%
  • Median sold price  -down  16%

To view full graphs and tables of 2011 Seattle & King County sales click on links below:

 

 

 

“Information and statistics compiled and reported by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.”
Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | December 19, 2011

New Wave of Foreclosures Forecast for 2012

New Foreclosure Wave is Coming

Posted By: Diana Olick | CNBC Real Estate Reporter

CNBC.com

| 15 Dec 2011 | 09:54 AM ET

Despite a seasonal slowdown in overall foreclosure activity, and a process still bogged down and backed up by the “robo-signing” processing scandal, the U.S real estate market is about to be hit by another surge of bank repossessions, according to a new report from the online foreclosure sale site RealtyTrac. As banks resubmit millions of documents and courts begin hearing cases again, the backlog of over four million delinquent loans will start surging through the pipeline again.

“November’s numbers suggest a new set of incoming foreclosure waves, many of which may roll into the market as REOs [bank repossessions] or short sales sometime early next year,” said James Saccacio, co-founder of RealtyTrac. “Overall foreclosure activity is down 14 percent from a year ago, the smallest annual decrease over the past 12 months, and some bellwether states such as California, Arizona and Massachusetts actually posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity in November.”

Foreclosure auctions, where the property is sold at the courthouse either to an investor or in most cases back to the bank, reached a nine-month high in November, which corresponds to a recent surge in default notices, the first stage in the foreclosure process, back in August. Troubled borrowers will get a reprieve over the holidays, as mortgage giant Fannie Mae says they will not evict anyone until after the new year. A spokeswoman, however, stressed that foreclosure processing would continue through the holidays, so as not to slow the system down any more than it already is.

Nevada is still in the number one spot nationally for its foreclosure rate, despite artificially low activity caused by a new state law that changes the process, requiring more documentation. It has held that dubious honor for 59 straight months. Both Georgia and Utah saw substantial monthly increases in their foreclosure rates, lifting them into the nation’s top five in November. Nine out of the nation’s 10 highest foreclosure rates among metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more were in California, according to RealtyTrac, with just Las Vegas making its way into the number six spot.

Other states, like New York and New Jersey, are still seeing huge delays in the foreclosure process–986 and 984 days respectively, says RealtyTrac, but they too are starting to ramp up, as various moratoria have been lifted and judges have made rulings that will kick-start the process. That will mean more distressed properties surging into an already troubled housing market. Foreclosure starts outnumber sales by three to one, and 45 percent of foreclosure starts in October were repeat foreclosures, according to Lender Processing Services.

While overall inventories of homes for sale have been dropping somewhat steadily over the past year, these new distressed properties will put increasing downward pressure on home prices nationally. The hope is that there are enough investors at the ready to buy these properties quickly, as they seek to take advantage of a growing rental market. Government agencies are considering a plan to sell repossessed homes from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in bulk to investors, but there has been little movement of late. Bank of America , which took over the troubled loans of Countrywide Financial, is setting a plan in motion to sell its repossessed homes to investors, who would then rent them back to the original borrowers. Both government and the private sector know that until the backlog of distressed properties is cleared, the housing market will have little chance of regaining a solid footing.

URL: http://www.cnbc.com/id/45682960/

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | December 13, 2011

Seattle Market Statistics November 2011

Seattle Single Family Homes

Summary:  November saw a year over year drop of 9.8%  in the median price for single family homes in Seattle.

Date

11/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

7/11

8/11

9/11

10/11

11/11

For Sale

2428

1933

1945

1955

2084

2050

2174

2105

2013

2052

1884

1638

New Listing

591

795

721

918

1006

863

974

854

785

838

657

530

Sold

408

282

316

525

534

515

624

530

551

493

454

399

Avg. Active Price

576

563

575

597

608

604

617

605

603

612

608

605

Avg. Sold Price

460

415

425

437

437

456

464

490

458

449

423

423

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

226

205

213

219

213

226

223

236

224

213

206

210

Sold/List Diff. %

96

96

96

96

97

97

96

96

97

97

97

97

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

92

91

92

91

93

94

93

93

93

93

93

91

Avg days on market

85

106

110

111

92

77

78

70

72

75

72

79

Median

388

361

355

370

373

377

380

375

365

380

350

350

 


Seattle Condominiums

Summary:  November saw a year over year drop of 9.3%  in the median price for condominium homes in Seattle.

Date

11/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

7/11

8/11

9/11

10/11

11/11

For Sale

1297

1114

1160

1157

1193

1184

1218

1140

1110

1045

986

883

New Listing

256

370

324

358

350

360

360

282

260

287

235

183

Sold

118

96

120

145

146

181

189

136

175

143

127

147

Avg. Active Price

478

460

459

453

449

458

459

462

456

473

483

497

Avg. Sold Price

352

322

440

365

382

307

332

348

317

308

314

283

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

354

329

393

360

369

316

338

351

315

304

313

291

Sold/List Diff. %

95

96

95

95

95

95

95

94

95

95

95

96

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

90

92

90

90

91

91

91

90

90

90

90

92

Avg days on market

132

118

130

151

138

132

120

126

132

134

137

114

Median

257

272

323

256

280

244

234

254

240

226

240

233

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | November 14, 2011

October – Big drop in King County home sale prices

Friday, November 4, 2011 – Page updated at 08:00 p.m.

Puzzling plunge: 15% year-over-year drop in county home prices

By Eric Pryne
Seattle Times business reporter

King County home prices tumbled to a new post-boom low in October, and no one is sure exactly why.

As real-estate insiders offered a host of possible explanations for the drop Thursday, they also debated whether it’s a harbinger of a new, long-term decline — or a one-time statistical blip.

The median price of houses that sold last month was $320,000, down nearly 15 percent from October 2010, according to statistics released by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

The previous low, $334,000, came this March. The median had fluctuated in a narrow range, between $345,000 and $350,000, since then.

October’s median condo price, $178,500, was down even more sharply year-over-year — 23 percent.

Single-family-home prices in Snohomish County were down 13 percent, to $235,000.

Glenn Crellin, director of the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at Washington State University, said he expects prices will continue to slip for another year.

“There’s little pressure on buyers to be active, especially with interest rates not expected to rise for some time,” he said. Mortgage rates have been at historic lows — even dipping below 4 percent for a 30-year term — for much of this year.

But Tim Ellis, who writes the real-estate blog Seattlebubble.com, said he’s not making too much of the October numbers.

“One month does not a trend make,” he said. “I’m inclined to take a wait-and-see approach.”

Compared with the same month in 2010, sales volumes were up in October for the fifth straight month. Buyers closed on 14 percent more houses and 30 percent more condos in King County, and 37 percent more houses in Snohomish County.

But those gains were overshadowed by the big decline in prices. King County’s single-family median sales price was off more than 33 percent last month from its July 2007 peak.

The last time it was lower: March 2005.

Some possible causes of the October drop:

• Tighter limits on “jumbo” loans: On Oct. 1 the limit on federally backed mortgages dropped from $567,500 to $506,000. That left buyers of higher-priced homes with fewer financing options, OB Jacobi, Windermere Real Estate’s president, said in a prepared statement.

“It’s only natural that this would cause downward pressure on October’s median price,” he said.

But Ellis, who also is a researcher for online brokerage Redfin, said homes likely to be affected by the new limit account for less than 4 percent of the King County market.

And Crellin said buyers who closed in October probably had financing arranged before the tighter limits took effect.

• “Distressed” properties: Bank-repossessed homes tend to fetch less from buyers, as do “short sales” for less than the seller owes its lenders.

Together, they made up about 31 percent of all King County single-family-home sales in October, according to an analysis by Washington Property Solutions, a short-sale negotiating firm. That’s about the same share as the last few months.

But Bonnie Bell, broker with Northwest Elite Real Estate in Issaquah, said she’s seeing more short sales and sales of bank-owned properties on the higher-priced Eastside.

And Mike Elliott, assistant manager of Windermere’s Renton South office, said distressed properties continue to make up a disproportionate share of sales in lower-priced South King County, in part because there’s not much higher-priced inventory.

“When you get below $200,000, it’s a pretty hot market — sometimes we get multiple offers,” he said.

• Cash offers: More buyers, especially investors, are making all-cash offers, Crellin said — and buyers are accepting them, although they often are lower, to avoid the uncertainties of financing.

Sellers of higher-priced homes also are starting to drop their asking prices, he added, and that could be pushing the median sales price lower.

• Apples and oranges: The 1,489 King County houses that sold for a median price of $320,000 this October can’t be compared accurately with the 1,309 houses that sold for a median price of $375,000 last October, some argue, because the mix has changed.

For instance: Ellis said that while Redfin’s research also shows a big year-over-year drop in the median sales price last month, the price per square foot fell much more modestly.

That suggests “for whatever reason, people bought smaller houses,” he said.

The geographic mix also shifted. Listing-service statistics show King County’s lowest-priced areas — Southwest, Southeast and North King County — saw the biggest increases in sales last month. They also experienced the biggest price drops, and that brought the countywide number down.

In higher-priced Seattle and the Eastside, price declines were in the single digits.

It’s dangerous to read too much into the countywide numbers, Joe Spencer, president and chief operating officer of John L. Scott Real Estate, said in a prepared statement:

“Not every home has dropped 15 percent in value,” he said.

Eric Pryne: 206-464-2231 or epryne@seattletimes.com

Copyright © The Seattle Times Company

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | September 17, 2011

Seattle Sales Statistics – August 2011

News from the Northwest Multiple Listing Service:  Sales up … prices down.

“Selling prices are still below year-ago levels. Area-wide, the median price for last month’s completed sales was $236,000, about 12.4 percent less than twelve months ago. Year-to-date through August, prices for sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) are down about 9.4 percent.

In King County, last month’s median selling price was $315,000, down nearly 9.9 percent from a year ago. A year-to-date price comparison shows a decline of just under 8.4 percent.”

Seattle Single Family Homes

Date

9/10

10/10

11/10

12/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

7/11

8/11

For Sale

3020

2810

2428

2000

1933

1945

1955

2084

2050

2174

2105

2013

New Listing

1069

876

591

388

795

721

918

1006

863

974

852

781

Sold

373

404

408

461

282

316

525

534

515

624

525

528

Pended

448

504

379

337

416

498

598

589

613

584

554

599

Avg. Active Price

605

599

576

567

563

575

597

608

604

617

605

603

Avg. Sold Price

476

471

460

478

415

425

437

437

456

464

491

463

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

234

234

226

228

205

213

219

213

226

223

236

225

Sold/List Diff. %

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

97

97

96

96

97

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

92

92

92

90

91

92

91

93

94

93

93

93

Avg. Days on Market

78

81

85

99

106

110

111

92

77

78

70

73

Median

411

388

388

393

361

355

370

373

377

380

375

368

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | August 11, 2011

Seattle Sales Statistics July 2011

Seattle Single Family Homes

Date

7/10

8/10

9/10

10/10

11/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

7/11

For Sale

3018

3017

3020

2810

2428

1933

1945

1955

2084

2050

2174

2105

Sold

474

413

373

404

408

282

316

525

534

515

622

496

Avg. Active Price

620

608

605

599

576

563

575

597

608

604

617

605

Avg. Sold Price

517

477

476

471

460

415

425

437

437

456

464

492

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

247

230

234

234

226

205

213

219

213

226

223

236

Sold/List Diff. %

97

97

96

96

96

96

96

96

97

97

96

96

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

94

93

92

92

92

91

92

91

93

94

93

93

Avg Days on Market

70

81

78

81

85

106

110

111

92

77

79

69

Median

427

400

411

388

388

361

355

370

373

377

380

375

 

Seattle Condominiums

Date

7/10

8/10

9/10

10/10

11/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

7/11

For Sale

1647

1591

1545

1457

1297

1114

1160

1157

1193

1184

1218

1140

Sold

143

129

140

102

118

96

120

145

146

181

188

131

Avg. Active Price

448

451

467

473

478

460

459

453

449

458

459

462

Avg. Sold Price

412

371

352

427

352

322

440

365

382

307

332

349

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

389

363

366

400

354

329

393

360

369

316

339

353

Sold/List Diff. %

94

94

95

93

95

96

95

95

95

95

95

94

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

90

91

91

90

90

92

90

90

91

91

91

90

Avg Days on Market

130

116

140

120

132

118

130

151

138

132

121

129

Median

300

295

308

250

257

272

323

256

280

244

233

252

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | July 11, 2011

Broadview Contemporary Victorian

Like New Contemporary Victorian in Coveted Broadview

New Price – Now Offered at $589,950

Beautiful custom built Contemporary Victorian in coveted Broadview neighborhood. Main floor offers soaring 9’ ceilings, crown molding, custom window treatments, pristine hardwoods, large formal living & dining rooms, gas fireplace, French doors to veranda, large island kitchen w/granite counters & custom cabinetry, plus an office/den off entry. Second level has 3 BRs & large Family Room with 2nd gas fireplace. Top level offers the crowning Master Suite complete with 5 piece bath & huge jetted soaking tub.

Click here for more information.

Posted by: Bill Aubuchon | July 11, 2011

June 2011 – Seattle Home Sale Statistics

Seattle – Single Family Homes

Date

6/10

7/10

8/10

9/10

10/10

11/10

1/11

2/11

3/11

4/11

5/11

6/11

For Sale

2871

3020

3019

3024

2812

2429

1936

1948

1957

2085

2051

2174

New Listing

1038

1033

912

1070

876

591

795

721

918

1006

867

965

Sold

564

474

413

373

404

408

282

316

525

534

511

573

Pended

471

430

418

448

504

379

416

498

598

589

641

644

Avg. Active Price

634

620

608

604

598

576

562

574

597

608

604

615

Avg. Sold Price

487

517

477

476

471

460

415

425

437

437

457

466

Avg. Sq. Ft. Price

234

247

230

234

234

226

205

213

219

213

227

223

Sold/List Diff. %

96

97

97

96

96

96

96

96

96

97

97

96

Sold/Orig LP Diff. %

93

94

93

92

92

92

91

92

91

93

94

93

Avg Days on Market

76

70

81

78

81

85

106

110

111

92

77

78

Median

400

427

400

411

388

388

361

355

370

373

378

380

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